The Irish “No” vote to the referendum on the
(I will agree to one part of the argument: the French voted “No to
The ongoing EU summit in
Funny it would come from
As a hardcore institutionalist, I believe that EU treaties are too important to be left to referenda (sorry, you 400 million European citizens - you can’t think for yourselves).
In the same time, this very example is proof that
Is it going to pretend that it actually gives a crap about the opinion of the voters, and tweak the treaty - AGAIN - to resubmit it to the Irish?
OR is it going to push through anyway, convincing the Irish to vouch for the agreement in the parliament, y basta?
With the need for a unanimous vote of 27 countries - including the Eastern European peewees who were admitted to the Varsity league, somehow - it’s going to be mad to try to renegotiate anything in this agreement.
I foresee the French presidency, which takes over in less than 2 weeks, will spend a long time discussing voting process and maybe, just maybe, submitting an idea either more relaxed (non-unanimous) voting procedures, or just a ‘Two-speeds Europe’. (again).
And it won’t be pretty. Especially when you have the peewees whining about “we don’t want to be pressured” to quote the Czech minister for European Affairs, or the Lithuanian president using the term ‘bully’ and then quickly changing it to ‘pressure us’...



3 comments:
The future of the EU will be interesting to see. Merkel has spoken against a "two-speed Europe" which I think 1) will be challenging to managed and 2) you will have Eastern European countries crying foul of how they are not being treated equal. Of course, in theory they are not equal but no one has told them that. Sarkozy has a real mess in his hands regarding the EU plus all the other topics they need to cover. But Sarkozy is all powerful :P
J'ajouterais au non à la Turquie français, un non au fameux plombier polonais. Je ne sais pas pour les autres mais les français n'auraient évidemment pas du être interrogés sur quelque chose qui leur échappe complètement. Les gens ne savent visiblement pas ce que c'est que l'UE, ne connaissent pas son fonctionnement, ignorent ses objectifs et son histoire. Libre alors aux populistes de tous bords de marteler n'importe quoi. Et d'arriver à leurs fins.
Est-ce qu'on ne peut pas continuer à ratifier, et à l'issue de ça, que les irlandais décident si ils veulent revoter ou dégager ?
(et je maintiens ALLEZ LES TURCS!)
Je pense que la plupart des pays vont continuer le processus de ratification - ca sera ca de gagne en terme de pression sur les Irlandais, pour les 'convaincre' de revoir leurs positions.
En attendant, il est vrai que la construction europeenne est un projet tellement fou - et qui necessite, ne le cachons pas, des sacrifices en termes de souverainete nationale - que la plupart des gens sont incapables, faute de precedent mondial, d'imaginer l'Europe dans 10, 20, 30 ans.
Je me demande si, lors de la construction de la France moderne, Richelieu avait suggere un referendum...
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